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LAWRIE WILLIAMS: FOMC , BoE and beyond

Lawrence Williams

23 September 2022We have now had rate increase decisions from the U.S. Fed and the Bank of England - respectively of 3/4% and 1/2% - and the markets and currencies have reacted accordingly. It looks like the major economies are certainly headed for, if not already in, recession, and markets are reacting accordingly. The dollar is surging and even precious metals prices are suffering.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Above expectation CPI raises prospects of 1% FOMC rate rise

Lawrence Williams

14 September 2022The latest Consumer Price Index Figures for August came in higher than expected both year-on-year and month-on-month and prompted a re-assessment of likely Fed interest rate moves at this month's FOMC meeting in a week's time. Now a 1% rate rise is considered a possibility,

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Illogical equity price movements last week

Lawrence Williams

11 September 2022Despite the Fedwatch Tool moving ever more strongly in favour of a 75 basis point rate rise at this month's FOMC meeting - now less than 2 weeks away - equities and bitcoin made good gains in value over the past few days when logic tells us they should have moved in the opposite direction as higher rate rises make recession more likely.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Fedwatch now strongly predicting 75 basis point rate rise

Lawrence Williams

08 September 2022The CME's Fedwatch Tool has been moving strongly in favour of the likelihood of an aggressive Fed interest rate rise at the forthcoming FOMC meeting in jus under 2 weeks time.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: China gold consumption still climbing y-o-y

Lawrence Williams

08 September 2022The latest gold withdrawal figures for August from the Shanghai Gold Exchange suggest that Chinese gold consumption continues to rise year on year, but still remains well below its earlier peaks, but it could be making up for any shortfall in domestic production by buying Russian gold.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Australian annual gold output 317 tonnes – Surbiton

Lawrence Williams

05 September 2022The latest figures for June quarter Australian gold output from specialist Melbourne-based consultancy Surbiton Associates puts the 3-month figure at 83 tonnes bringing the annual total to 317 tonnes, putting Australia in third place globally for annual gold production behind China and Russia

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Russian gold going to China, but are amounts as tiny as reported?

Lawrence Williams

04 September 2022The Moscow Times reports on Russian gold shipments to China, but in amounts so small that it raises the question as to their accuracy given Russia's needs to finance its Ukraine war and China's perceived desire to build its own gold reserves.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Gold drifts downwards – equities worse

Lawrence Williams

03 September 2022Gold and silver prices fell quite sharply during the past week before making something of a recovery on Friday. Equities fell back quite heavily too and bitcoin was down - all in a continuing reaction to Jay Powell's Jackson Hole presentation. he U.S. economy looks to be heading for recession which the Fed may well be using as another weapon in its efforts to bring inflation under control,

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Dollar strength vis-a-vis gold not replicated in other key currencies

Lawrence Williams

01 September 2022While the gold price has slipped in U.S. dollar terms over the past month, it has not done so in many other currencies which have also fallen in terms of their dollar parities.

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