22 April 2022
As anticipated Russia has not announced any details of changes in its gold reserves despite having announced that its central bank will be adding to them again, It is undoubtedly using gold to help finance its war efforts in ukraine where its military equipment losses appear to have been very substantial/
11 April 2022
The March SGE gold withdrawal figures have come in sharply lower year on year which could indicate an overall gold demand reduction, or perhaps a temporary blip due to the Shanghai coronavirus outbreak and the attempts to bring it under control, We also speculate that any shortfall could be filled by imports of Russian gold as China is not a participant in the sanctions which may prevent Russian gold miners selling their product on the open market.
08 April 2022
Russia appears to have totally withdrawn its forces back to Belarus from the north of Ukriane which had threatened Kyiv and Chernihiv. The withdrawal is almost certianly a sign of a lack of success in this part of the offensive, but will enable Russia to concentrate on the east and south where it can directly resupply its forces directly from Russia. However evidence of atrocities committed by Russian troops in occupied areas is likely to harden Western sanctions imposition, the inflationary impact of which would be positive for the gold price.
04 April 2022
Putin's Russia seems to have lost the high ground in the media war as the ground war continues. The twi effects of the Ukraine war and the gradual exit from coronavirus controls is boosting inflation hugely and we suspect that will put gold on an ongoing upwards path throughout the remainder of the year,
01 April 2022
Some further thoughts on the Russia/Ukraine war and its direct and indirect impacts on inflation and the gold price.
28 March 2022
The gold price in particular has shown sone considerable vo#latility alongside the fortunes of the Russian military in its war on Ukraine. However President Putin may have made some serious miscalculations on the likely level of Ukraine's resistance to the supposedly impregnable Russian forces as well as inflicting some severe long term damage on his nation's own economy and world standing.
17 March 2022
The latest FOMC meeting only implemented a 25 basis point interest rate rise, but with the promise of more rate rises to come this year. We consider this latest interest rate increase insufficient to have any effect on seemingly continuingly rising inflation.
09 March 2022
The U.S. Senate is trying to pass a bipartisan bill to prevent Russia from using its huge gold reserves to mitigate the impact of economic sanctions on its economy. With the world's two biggest gold consumers unlikely to follow such a bill will likely only have a symbolic effect.
09 March 2022
l figures from the Shanghai Gold Exchange for February show there that gold demand is holding up but perhaps no longer growing
05 March 2022
The military conflict in Ukraine, coupled with rising inflation, and attempts to control it has seen the gold price almost inevitably move towards the $2,000 level. If things continue without a diplomatic solution we feel that this level is inevitable and will be reached sooner rather than later
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