06 December 2022
A 'surprise' scenario from Standard Chartered Bank's Head of Research, Eric Robertsen, sees the gold price rising to $2,250 and bitcoin falling to $5,000 next year if current patterns play out.
03 December 2022
Gold breached the $1,800 level on December 1st, but fell back again quite sharply in early U.S. trade a day later before clawing its way back up again to end the week in the high $1,790s. Silver did rather better, although we are wary of its past somewhat erratic price performance. We remain confident on the future price performance for gold and, perhaps less so for silver, but are wary on equities and cryptos due to likely economic headwinds,
01 December 2022
The combination of a more dovish statement from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the latest PCE data release drove gold, silver, equities and bitcoin all higher in the U.S. and globally, with gold breaking through the $1,800 barrier at one time.
27 November 2022
With the Thanksgiving holiday, Black Friday and the World Cup diverting attention away from the markets there was a relatively quiet week with most sectors performing mildly positively, perhaps encouraged by the release of the minutes from the November FOMC meeting which were taken as suggesting the Fed might start reducing its aggressive interest rate impositions as soon as December.
10 November 2022
The U.S. Midterm elections which saw President Biden and the Democrats perform far less badly than anticipated, closely followed by the latest CPI figures which saw inflation come in lower than expected, saw gold, silver, pgms. equities and bitcoin all surge sharply.
29 October 2022
Latest Fedwatch Tool predictions see the U.S. Federal Reserve easing off in its aggressive approach to raising interest rates at future FOMC meetings, which has given a boost to equity markets, supported by a strong Q3 GDP estimate, although this may not be all that it seems.
29 August 2022
The gold price may have looked weak in recent weeks, but in comparison with equities and bitcoin it has been doing extremely well. We compare gold's performance year to date with these other two asset classes which both look vulnerable to further sharp falls as we seem to be heading for a global recession.
03 August 2022
The gold price surged back to the $1,800 level, which it achieved very briefly in intra-day trade before falling back again in reaction to Nancy Pelosi's Taiwan visit and fears of China's reaction. This was less severe than feared and gold and silver fell back quite substantially to earlier levels based on the Fed's perceived likely moves at September's FOMC meeting in the light of latest inflation data.
20 July 2022
Equities and bitcoin have been making gains on the latest market data while precious metals have mostly remained in the doldrums. The silly season seems to be with us and we may have to wait until after the U.S. Labor Day for markets to find their true direction.
29 June 2022
Yesterday was a down day for investors in almost all asset classes as markets turned down on looming across-the-board fears of a global recession took hold. The Russia/Ukraine War has been a major game changer and many of the cards seem to be in Russia's hands economically speaking.
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