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LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Long term U.S. Fed forecasts driving markets every which way

Lawrence Williams

17 August 2022The CME's Fedwatch Tool provides an excellent indicator to the thinking behind current U.S,.market activity in all asset classes dependent as they are so much on likely Fed interest rate policy at the forthcoming FOMC meeting although this is still around five weeks away.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Gold breaches $1,800 but falls back yet again

Lawrence Williams

15 August 2022The gold price succeeded in closing the past week above $1,800 but was brought back down sharply in early European trade this morning, Likewise silver which hit over $20,80 on Friday. Equities advanced on expectations of a less aggressive approach by the Fed at the next FOMC meeting, but it is early days yet.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Chinese gold demand picking up nicely despite lockdowns

Lawrence Williams

08 August 2022Latest SGE gold withdrawal figures put July comfortably ahead of those for the same month in 2021 indicating that Chinese gold demand is picking up nicely despite problems associated with lockdowns resulting from the nation's zero-Covid policies

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Gold regains $1,800 but v. briefly on Chinese tensions

Lawrence Williams

03 August 2022The gold price surged back to the $1,800 level, which it achieved very briefly in intra-day trade before falling back again in reaction to Nancy Pelosi's Taiwan visit and fears of China's reaction. This was less severe than feared and gold and silver fell back quite substantially to earlier levels based on the Fed's perceived likely moves at September's FOMC meeting in the light of latest inflation data.

LAWRIE WILLIAMS: Another high inflation reading brings little change

Lawrence Williams

01 August 2022The Fed's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index has come in well above expectations and is at its highest level for 40 years indicating that inflation is still running high in the U.S. and recession is almost certainly with us despite denials from President Biden and Fed chair Powell. Current equity and bitcoin strength looks increasingly suspect.

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